The insurance business has many applications of
statistical methods -- particularly in the areas of pricing and
risk analysis. When an insurance policy is sold, the cost of
providing insurance cannot be known with certainty. Therefore, the
pricing of insurance relies heavily on estimates of expected cost.
In this presentation, we will discuss the importance of refining
these estimates and quantifying the uncertainty of these
estimates. We will also discuss some of the modeling approaches
that are used in actuarial practice -- including predictive
modeling, generalized linear models, and stochastic modeling.